Wednesday, May 29, 2019

Wednesday, May 29, 2019 - Morning Weather Discussion

Chance for severe thunderstorms again today and tomorrow and a never before seen in recorded history heat wave in the Southeastern U.S…

The thunderstorms last night were truly incredible. There were at least two confirmed tornadoes in Central and Eastern Pennsylvania and likely others. There was also a possible tornado in Stanhope and Hopatcong in Sussex County, NJ, and possibly in Roxbury, Morris County, NJ.  In addition, there was a funnel cloud spotted in Mendham Township, Morris County, NJ.

The reason for this severe weather in our area starts with the fact that there is a never before seen in recorded history, May heat wave in the Southeastern United States, with high temperatures breaking 100 degrees in many areas from Northern Florida, through Georgia, South Carolina, and North Carolina, and some locations even approaching 105 degrees. This is something that has never before been seen in many of these locations in the month of May.

Our area is on the boundary between this incredible May heat to our south and much cooler air to the north, with a stationary front extending across our area. In fact, this boundary and stationary front has been in place for much of spring, with no end in sight any time soon. Strong disturbances have been developing along this front, leading to unbelievable severe weather, that is some of the, if not the worst, I have ever seen, for such an extended period of time, as is evidenced by the severe tornadoes and flooding in the Mid-Western United State, and in our area last night.

Click here for the latest on the possible tornado last night in Stanhope, Sussex County, NJ, from NJ.com.

Unfortunately, for today there will again be a chance of showers and thunderstorms, and they could be severe this afternoon and evening, as another strong disturbance passes through our area. In this regard, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Storm Predication Center, has placed our area in a marginal to enhanced area for severe weather. Click here to view. And the local National Weather Service office in Mt. Holly, NJ has issued a Flash Flood Watch from 4 pm through late tonight for most of Eastern PA, Central and Northwestern NJ. Click here to view the Flash Flood Watch. Highs today will be in the mid 60’s to mid 70’s, but with some upper 70’s to low 80’s in East Central PA and West Central NJ.

And tomorrow there will be yet another chance for showers and thunderstorms, possibly severe in some locations in the afternoon and at night as another strong disturbance passes through our area. Highs will be in the 70’s, but with some low 80’s in West Central NJ.


Friday we will get a much deserved break, as the stationary boundary temporarily moves south of our area. Highs will be in the upper 60’s to low 70’s in Northeastern PA and the mid to upper 70’s elsewhere.

Saturday, the stationary front returns to our area and another disturbance will approach, with a chance for showers or thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening, possibly severe in some locations. Highs will be in the low to mid 70’s in Northeastern PA and on Long Island, the mid 70’s in Fairfield County, CT, the mid to upper 70’s along the NJ Coast and in Southeastern NY State, in the upper 70’s in NYC, in the upper 70’s to low 80’s in Northern NJ, the low 80’s in East Central PA, and in the low to mid 80’s in inland Central NJ.

Sunday and Monday the chance for showers or thunderstorms continues as the disturbance and possibly another disturbance pass through our area. Highs will be in the mid 60’s to low 70’s Sunday and the 60’s to low 70’s Monday.

Tuesday will then be nice with highs in the mid 60’s to mid 70’s.

Next Wednesday, June 5th, through next Saturday, June 8th, will be variably cloudy with a chance of showers or thunderstorms each day. Highs will be in the 70’s next Wednesday, the upper 60’s to mid 70’s next Thursday, the upper 60’s and 70’s next Friday, and the upper 60’s to mid 70’s next Saturday.

Next Sunday, June 9th, is then looking nice with highs in the upper 60’s to mid 70’s.

Next Monday, June 10th, and next Tuesday, June 11th, will then be variably cloudy with a chance of a shower or thunderstorm. Highs will be in the upper 60’s and 70’s.

Have a fantastic day!

If you are thinking about buying or selling a home, I am a licensed real estate broker in NJ and I would be happy to assist you. Please contact me at edgeweather2@gmail.com

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