Thursday, August 8, 2019

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED - Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 563


URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 563
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
440 PM EDT Thu Aug 8 2019

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
  western and central Connecticut
  western Massachusetts
  northern New Jersey
  southeastern New York
  parts of eastern Pennsylvania
  southern Vermont

* Effective this Thursday afternoon from 440 PM until Midnight
  EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 60 mph possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms moving across southeast New York/northeast
Pennsylvania and vicinity at this time will continue eastward over
the next few hours, accompanied by a risk for locally damaging
winds.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles east northeast
of Keene NH to 60 miles southwest of Poughkeepsie NY. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 562...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 50 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27035.

...Goss


======================================================================

506
WWUS40 KWNS 082040
WWP3

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH PROBABILITIES FOR WS 0563
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0338 PM CDT THU AUG 08 2019

WS 0563
PROBABILITY TABLE:
PROB OF 2 OR MORE TORNADOES                        : <05%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE STRONG /EF2-EF5/ TORNADOES       : <02%
PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE WIND EVENTS              :  40%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE WIND EVENTS >= 65 KNOTS          : <05%
PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE HAIL EVENTS              : <05%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE HAIL EVENTS >= 2 INCHES          : <05%
PROB OF 6 OR MORE COMBINED SEVERE HAIL/WIND EVENTS :  50%

&&
ATTRIBUTE TABLE:
MAX HAIL /INCHES/                            : 1.0
MAX WIND GUSTS SURFACE /KNOTS/               : 50
MAX TOPS /X 100 FEET/                        : 500
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR /DEGREES AND KNOTS/ : 27035
PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION             : NO

&&
FOR A COMPLETE GEOGRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE WATCH AND
WATCH EXPIRATION INFORMATION SEE WOUS64 FOR WOU3.

$$

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