A strong Nor’easter is developing off the coast of the Southeastern United States. This storm will move northward off the East Coast and will bring our area some rain, although the bigger story will be the chance for some coastal flooding and a slight chance of some inland freezing rain tonight into tomorrow morning, and possibly a bit of inland snow tomorrow night into Tuesday morning, as colder air moves into our area behind the storm and a disturbance develops over our area.
Today there will be a chance of a sprinkle or flurry near the coast this morning, and a sprinkle this afternoon and evening, with a slight chance for drizzle elsewhere, possibly freezing at night in some parts of Northeastern PA, Northwestern NJ, Orange and Putnam Counties in NY, and in Northern Fairfield County, CT. Highs will range from the mid 30’s in Northeastern PA to the mid 40’s along the NJ Coast and on Long Island.
Tomorrow there will be a chance of sprinkles near the coast early in the morning, a slight chance of drizzle elsewhere in the morning, possibly freezing in some parts of Northeastern PA, Northwestern NJ, Orange and Putnam Counties in NY, and in Northern Fairfield County, CT, then light rain developing everywhere during the day, becoming steadier and heavier at night, possibly mixing with or changing to snow late at night in parts of Northeastern PA, Northwestern NJ, Orange and Putnam Counties in NY, and in Northern Fairfield County, CT. Lows will range from the upper 20’s to low 30’s in Northeastern PA to the low 40’s along the coast and on Long island, with highs from the mid 30’s to the mid 40’s.
Below are the freezing rain maps from the short-range American model (on top) and the European model (on bottom). Notice how they disagree on the potential for freezing rain. The reason is that the short-range American model is forecasting some precipitation to develop inland tonight, where temperatures may fall below freezing, while the European model only has some precipitation along the coast tonight, where temperatures will be above freezing. Images courtesy WeatherBell Analytics. Click on the images to enlarge.
Tuesday the rain or snow will end in the morning in Northeastern PA, Northwestern NJ, Orange and Putnam Counties in NY, and in Northern Fairfield County, CT, and rain ending elsewhere, followed by clearing. Lows will range from the low to mid 30’s in Northeastern PA to the upper 30’s to low 40’s along the coast and on Long Island, with highs in the mid 40’s to mid 50’s.
Below are the latest short-range American (top two) and European model (bottom two) snowfall maps for tomorrow night into Tuesday morning. Notice that the short-range American model is currently forecasting much more snowfall, especially in Northeastern PA. I doubt that these higher snowfall amounts will happen, but it isn’t impossible. Images courtesy WeatherBell Analytics. Click on the images to enlarge.
Wednesday will be variably cloudy with a chance of a rain or snow shower in the morning or early afternoon as a weak disturbance passes through our area. Highs will be in the 40’s to low 50’s.
Thursday will be variably cloudy with a chance of a shower at night as a cold front approaches our area. Highs will be in the mid 40’s to low 50’s.
Friday will be variably cloudy with a chance of a shower in the morning as the cold front passes through our area. Highs will be in the 40’s to low 50’s.
Saturday clouds will increase with a chance of a shower at night as a disturbance approaches our area. Highs will be in the low to mid 40’s.
Next Sunday, November 24th, will be variably cloudy with a chance of a shower as a disturbance passes just south of our area. Highs will be in the 40’s.
Next Monday, November 25th, will be variably cloudy with a chance of a shower in the morning, followed by clearing, as the disturbance departs our area. Highs will be in the 40’s.
Next Tuesday, November 26th, is looking mostly sunny with highs in the mid 40’s to low 50’s.
Next Wednesday, November 27th, and next Thursday, November 28th (Thanksgiving Day), will be variably cloudy with a chance of a shower. Highs will be in the 40’s next Wednesday and the mid 40’s to low 50’s next Thursday (Thanksgiving Day).
Next Friday, November 29th (Black Friday), is looking variably cloudy with a chance of a rain or snow shower as a disturbance passes through our area. Highs will be in the low to mid 40’s.
Next Saturday, November 30th, is looking variably cloudy with highs in thee mid 30’s to mid 40’s.
Have a fantastic day!
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