My Updated Snowfall Estimates and the Latest Snowfall Maps

I am updating the snowfall estimates based on the latest data. The biggest changes will be to adjust amounts downward slightly in areas with the highest prior estimates and upwards in areas with the lowest prior estimates, as the storm has shifted slightly eastward…

1-2 inches:  Eastern Long Island

2-5 inches:  East Central PA, Central NJ (including the NJ Coast), NYC, Western Long Island, Fairfield County, CT

3-7 inches:  Northeastern NJ, Rockland, Westchester and Putnam Counties in NY

5-10 inches:  Northeastern PA, Northwestern NJ, Orange County, NY

Below is the snowfall map from the latest run of the European model ensemble mean (an average of the European model run 50 different ways for various conditions) that just came out. Image courtesy WeatherBell Analytics. Click on the image to enlarge.

Below is the snowfall map from the most recent run of the European model. Image courtesy WeatherBell Analytics. Click on the image to enlarge.

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