Friday, January 17, 2020

Friday, January 17, 2020 - Morning Weather Discussion

Had to increase snow amounts for tomorrow…

Today will be variably cloudy with highs in the mid 20’s to low 30’s.

Tomorrow clouds will increase with snow developing in the late morning and afternoon from west to east as a disturbance approaches from the west. It now appears that much of our area will receive a significant snowfall as temperatures will start out below freezing when the snow starts and will drop a few degrees thereafter. Temperatures will eventually warm above freezing in the evening, but possibly not until much of the precipitation has already fallen from East Central and Northeastern PA, through Northern NJ, Southeastern NY State, and in Fairfield County, CT. High temperatures will eventually reach the mid 30’s to mid 40’s before midnight tomorrow night, but that will be likely be after most of the precipitation has ended in those locations.

Total possible snowfall accumulation:

Coating to an inch:  Coastal NJ and Southeastern Long Island

One to Two inches:  Southern portions of inland Central NJ, the rest of Long Island

One to Three inches:  New York City

Two to Five inches:  Northern portions of Central NJ, Northeastern NJ, and Southern Westchester County, NY

Three to Six inches:  East Central and Northeastern PA, Northwestern NJ, Southeastern NY State, and Fairfield County, CT

Below is the latest European model snowfall map for Saturday afternoon and night, courtesy WeatherBell Analytics. Click on the image to enlarge.


Below is the latest European model ensemble mean snowfall map (an average of the European model run 50 different ways for various conditions) for Saturday afternoon and night, courtesy WeatherBell Analytics. Click on the image to enlarge.


Sunday, the precipitation will end early in the morning, then it will be variably cloudy. Highs will be early in the morning in the upper 30’s and 40’s, dropping to the 30’s in the late morning and afternoon.

Monday through next Friday, January 24th, are then looking nice with highs in the mid 20’s to low 30’s Monday, the mid 20’s to mid 30’s Tuesday, the 30’s Wednesday, and the upper 30’s to mid 40’s Thursday and next Friday.

Next Saturday, January 25th, clouds will increase with a chance of rain or snow developing as a disturbance approaches our area. Highs will be in the upper 30’s and low 40’s.

Next Sunday, January 26th, there will be a chance of rain or snow ending in the morning. Highs will be in the upper 30’s to low 40’s.

Next Monday, January 27th, there will be a chance of rain or snow showers with highs in the upper 30’s to mid 40’s.

Next Tuesday, January 28th, there will be a chance of rain or snow as a disturbance passes through our area. Highs will be in the mid 30’s to low 40’s.

Next Wednesday, January 29th, will be variably cloudy with a chance of a snow shower. Highs will be in the 30’s.

Next Thursday, January 30th, is then looking variably cloudy with highs in the upper 20’s to mid 30’s.

Have a fantastic day!

If you are thinking about buying or selling a home, I am a licensed real estate broker in NJ and I would be happy to assist you. Please contact me at edgeweather2@gmail.com

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