Sunday, April 12, 2020

Sunday, April 12, 2020 - Morning Weather Discussion

HEAVY RAIN, STRONG WIND, AND THUNDERSTORMS TOMORROW COULD LEAD TO FLOODING AND POWER OUTAGES…

Today will be variably cloudy with a slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm as a strong disturbance approaches from the west. Highs will range from the 50’s on Long Island, to the mid to upper 50’s in Fairfield County, CT, the upper 50’s to low 60’s in Northeastern PA, Southeastern NY State, and NYC, the low to mid 60’s in Northern NJ and along the NJ Coast, the mid 60’s in East Central PA, and the mid to upper 60’s in inland Central NJ.

Tomorrow, a strong disturbance will pass to our west and up through the Great Lakes area, bringing warm and very moist air northward into our area, followed by a strong cold front from the west. This combination of warm and very moist air being forced northward into our area, followed by cold air approaching from the west will cause very heavy rain and strong winds to develop in our area, and the possibility for thunderstorms, some of which could be severe. Total rainfall amounts will likely range from 1-3 inches in much of our area ,with localized amounts of over 4 inches possible. The heaviest rain is most likely to occur in East Central and Northeastern PA, Northern NJ, Southeastern NY State, and in Fairfield County, CT. Winds could gust as high as 70 mph inland and up to 80 mph near the coast and on Long Island in some of the heavier showers and thunderstorms. The rain will then end at night. Highs will be in the 60’s.

Click here for the latest convective outlook, tornado outlook, damaging wind outlook, and hail outlook from the National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center…

And below are the latest projected total rainfall maps from the European model (above) and the short-range American model (below), courtesy WeatherBell Analytics.


And below are the latest projected maximum wind gust maps from the European model (above) and the short-range American model (below), courtesy WeatherBell Analytics.


Tuesday will then start out nice, but clouds will increase with a chance of light rain or light snow developing at night as a weak disturbance approaches from the west. Highs will be in the upper 40’s to mid 50’s.

Wednesday there will be a chance of light rain or light snow ending early in the morning, followed by clearing. Highs will be in the mid 40’s.
Thursday will then be variably cloudy with highs in the mid 40’s to mid 50’s.

Friday will be variably cloudy with a chance of a rain or snow shower at night as another weak disturbance passes through our area. Highs will be in the mid 40’s to mid 50’s.

Next weekend then looks nice with highs in the mid 40’s to mid 50’s Saturday and the mid 50’s to low 60’s next Sunday.

Next Monday, April 20th, there will be a chance of rain as a strong disturbance passes through our area. Highs will be in the 50’s to low 60’s.

Next Tuesday, April 21st, and next Wednesday, April 22nd, are then looking variably cloudy with highs in the 50’s next Tuesday and the mid 50’s to low 60’s next Wednesday.

Next Thursday, April 23rd and next Friday, April 24th will be variably cloudy with a chance of a shower. Highs will be in the mid 50’s to low 60’s.

Next Saturday, April 25th, is then looking variably cloudy with highs in the mid 50’s to low 60’s.

Please Be Smart, Listen to the Warnings, and Do Your Best to Keep Yourself and Your Family Healthy…

If you are thinking about buying or selling a home, I am a licensed real estate broker in NJ and I would be happy to assist you. Please contact me at edgeweather2@gmail.com

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