Saturday, December 12, 2020

Saturday, December 12, 2020 - Daily Weather Discussion

 

Accumulating snow likely in much of our area Monday and a blizzard is possible Wednesday night and Thursday…


There will be some rain along the coast and on Long Island today and a slight chance of a shower elsewhere through tonight. A disturbance will then develop along the Gulf Coast tomorrow night and will then move northeastward towards our area Monday. This disturbance will likely come far enough north to bring our area some accumulating snow Monday, especially in East Central and Northeastern PA, Northern NJ, Southeastern NY State, and in Fairfield County, CT. Another disturbance approaching from the west will cause a Nor’easter to develop along the Middle Atlantic Coast Wednesday night. This Nor’easter will intensify rapidly and move slowly as the disturbance from Monday will have stalled in Northeastern Canada, backing up the flow along the East Coast and causing the storm along the Middle Atlantic Coast to move slowly, allowing it to throw moisture inland off the Atlantic Ocean into the cold air in place in our area.


Today, rain will be likely along the coast and on Long Island, with a chance of showers in NYC, Southeastern NY State, and in Fairfield County, CT, and a slight chance elsewhere during the day and at night as a cold front approaches from the west. Highs will be in the upper 40’s to mid 50’s.


Tomorrow will be variably cloudy with highs in the mid 40’s to mid 50’s as a cold front passes through our area.


Monday, snow will develop in the morning, and possibly a mixture of rain and snow along the coast and on Long Island, ending in the late afternoon and early evening. Highs will be in the mid to upper 30’s.


Total possible snowfall accumulations Monday:


Trace to an inch:  Coastal NJ and Eastern Long Island


1-3 inches:  Central and Northeastern NJ, NYC, Western Long Island and Coastal Fairfield County, CT


2-4 inches:  East Central and Northeastern PA, Northwestern NJ, Southeastern NY State and inland Fairfield County, CT


Tuesday will then be mostly sunny with highs in the upper 20’s to mid 30’s.


Wednesday, clouds will increase with snow developing in the afternoon and evening, possibly very heavy at times, possibly mixing with rain at night in East Central NJ and on Long Island, windy at night, with gusts up to 50 mph possible inland and up to 65 mph near the coast and on Long Island. Lows will range from the mid teens to the mid 20’s, with highs in the mid 20’s to mid 30’s, with some upper 30’s possible at night along the NJ Coast.


Thursday, the snow will end from west to east during the day, with very heavy snowfall accumulations possible. Some rain will be possible in East Central NJ and on Eastern Long Island. It will be windy in Eastern NJ, NYC, and on Long Island, with gusts up to 40 mph inland and up to 55 mph along the coast and on Long Island in the morning. Highs will be in the upper 20’s to mid 30’s.


Total possible snowfall accumulations:


3-6  inches or more possible:  along the Central NJ Coast

6-12 inches or more possible:  Central NJ, NYC, and Long Island

12-24 inches or more  possible:  East Central and Northeastern PA, Northern NJ, Southeastern NY State, and Fairfield County, CT


PLEASE KEEP IN MIND THIS IS HOW IT LOOKS RIGHT NOW!!! THINGS CAN CHANGE AND OFTEN DO, BUT IT HONESTLY AND TRULY LOOKS LIKE THIS RIGHT NOW…


Friday and next Saturday, December 19th, are then looking mostly sunny with highs in the mid 20’s to low 30’s Friday and next Saturday.


Next Sunday, December 20th, clouds will increase with a chance of rain or snow developing at night. Highs will be in the mid 30’s to low 40’s.


Next Monday, December 21st, there will be a chance of rain or snow ending during the day. Highs will be in the mid 30’s to mid 40’s.


Next Tuesday, December 22nd, clouds will increase with a chance of rain developing in the afternoon. Highs will be in the 40’s.


Next Wednesday, December 23rd, there will be a chance of rain ending in the morning. Highs will be in the upper 30’s to mid 40’s.


Christmas Eve will be variably cloudy with highs in the 40’s.


Christmas Day clouds will increase with a chance of rain or snow developing at night. Highs will be in the upper 30’s to mid 40’s.


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