Blizzard conditions looking likely along the NJ Coast and on the Eastern half of Long Island and significant snow and strong winds for all of us...
Well, this one is definitely happening…
A strong cold front and associated disturbance is dropping down into our area from Central Canada at the same time that a strong disturbance is approaching the Southeastern United States from the west. The cold front and associated disturbance and the disturbance approaching the Southeastern United States from the west will merge with a disturbance off the coast of the Southeastern United States. The extremely cold and dry air from Central Canada merging with the extremely warm and moist air off the coast of the Southeastern United States will cause a strong disturbance to develop off the coast of the Southern United States this afternoon and evening. This disturbance will rapidly strengthen overnight as it moves northward off the East Coast, becoming a strong Nor’easter. This storm will move northeastward into the Gulf of Maine by tomorrow night.
Some light snow, snow showers, and flurries will occur during the day today as the cold front approaches our area, with a coating to an inch of accumulation possible.
The main snow from the disturbance will develop this evening from south to north from around 5 pm in Southeastern PA and Southern NJ, to around 7 pm in Central NJ, around 8 pm in NYC and on Long Island, around 9 pm n Northeastern NJ and Fairfield County, CT, around 10 pm in East Central PA, Northwestern NJ, and Southeastern NY State, and around 11 pm in Northeastern PA.
The snow will then end tomorrow from west to east, starting in the late morning to around midday in Eastern PA, in the afternoon in NJ, the late afternoon and early evening in Southeastern NY State and NYC, and at night on Long Island and in Fairfield County, CT.
It will also become windy tonight and continuing into tomorrow, with gusts up to about 50 mph inland and 60 mph along the coast and on Long Island.
Total possible snowfall accumulation:
3-7 inches – East Central and Northeastern PA
5-9 inches – Southeastern PA
6-10 inches – Southwest and Northwest NJ, Orange County, NY
8-12 inches – Northeastern NJ, Rockland County, NY
12-15 inches – Westchester and Putnam Counties in NY State and New York City
12-20 inches – Southeastern and East Central NJ from west to east, Western Long Island, and Fairfield County, CT
20-30 inches – Central Long Island
24-36 inches – Eastern Long Island
After this storm passes temperatures will warm for the middle of the week, with some rain Thursday into Friday morning as warm air streams into our area ahead of an approaching cold front. This could bring some flooding concerns to our area Thursday into Friday morning.
Below are the latest short-range American model snow and wind maps courtesy WeatherBell Analytics. Click on the images to enlarge.
Below are the latest short-range Canadian model snow and wind maps courtesy WeatherBell Analytics. Click on the images to enlarge.
Below are the latest European model snow and wind maps courtesy WeatherBell Analytics. Click on the images to enlarge.
Have a fantastic day!
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