Wednesday, January 26, 2022

Wednesday, January 26, 2022 - Daily Weather Discussion

 

Well, the big question is the potential for a blizzard on Saturday…


So, will it happen, or won’t it?  The simple answer is I don’t know, but I am leaning in that direction for coastal areas and Long Island, but there is no guarantee at all ,and it still could go further east and out to sea and leave us all dry. 


The only other thing to discuss will be the extreme cold tomorrow, with lows possibly reaching as low as 10 below zero in parts of far Northern Northeastern PA tomorrow morning.


The storm for Saturday would develop as a result of a three disturbances. One dropping down from Canada, one moving eastward from the Western United States, and one off the Florida Coast. It all comes down to how these three disturbances come together if they even do. We will just have to wait and see.


The worst case scenario would be a blizzard affecting our entire area with wind gusts of up to 60 mph inland and up to 80 mph along the coast and especially on Long Island, with 2-3 feet of snow in much of our area.


The best case scenario is that the storm develops further out to sea and leaves us all completely dry and maybe even sunny on Saturday.


Simply put, this is how these types of situations often work out. To get as extreme a solution as the European model shows requires a lot of volatility, which leaves the doors open to just about anything, so we will just have to wait and see, so check back for updates.


Below is the latest snow map from the European model, courtesy WeatherBell Analytics, click on the images to enlarge.


Below is the latest wind map from the European model, co8rtesy WeatherBell Analytics, click on the images to enlarge.




And below is the latest American model snow map, courtesy WeatherBell Analytics. Click on the images to enlarge. 






Have a fantastic day!



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