Thursday, January 4, 2024

Thursday, January 4, 2024 - Weather Discussion

 

Chance of a snow shower or flurry this morning and then watching Saturday afternoon into Sunday morning, Tuesday, and next weekend into the following week…


Today will be variably cloudy with a chance of a snow shower or flurry this morning, especially in Southern NJ, near the NJ Coast, and on Long Island as a cold front passes through our area. Highs will range from the low to mid 30’s in Northeastern PA to the mid 40’s in Southern and East Central NJ, in NYC, and on Long Island.


Tomorrow will be mostly sunny with highs in the low to mid 30’s.


Saturday, clouds will increase with snow developing in the afternoon and early evening from southwest to northeast, changing to rain in Southeastern PA, Southern and East Central NJ, NYC, and on Long Island as a disturbance approaches from the west. Highs will be in the 30’s to low 40’s.


Sunday, the rain and snow will end in the morning, followed by clearing. Highs will be in the 30’s.


Below is the latest projected snowfall map from the European model ensemble mean (an average of the European model run 50 different ways for various conditions), courtesy WeatherBell Analytics. Click on the image to enlarge. 

And below is the latest projected snowfall map from the operational run of the European model, courtesy WeatherBell Analytics. Click on the image to enlarge. 


Monday will be mostly sunny with highs in the mid 30’s to low 40’s.


Tuesday, rain, snow, freezing rain, and sleet will develop in the morning, then change to rain as a strong disturbance approaches from the west, drawing warmer air into our area. Highs will be at night, and will range from the mid 40’s in Northeastern PA to the mid 50’s in Southern and Central NJ.

 

Wednesday, the rain will end in the morning, followed by clearing. Highs will be in the upper 30’s and 40’s.


Next Thursday, January 11th, will be mostly sunny with highs in the mid 30’s to mid 40’s.


Next Friday, January 12th, there will be a chance of rain as a stationary front may develop to our south, with several disturbances riding along it. Highs will be in the 40’s.


Next Saturday, January 13th and next Sunday, January 14th, there will be a chance of rain or snow as the disturbance passes through our area. Highs will be in the mid 30’s to low mid 40’s next Saturday and the 30’s to low 40’s next Sunday.


Next Monday, January 15th and next Tuesday, January 16th are currently looking nice, but cold, with highs in the mid 20’s to mid 30’s.


Next Wednesday, January 17th, clouds will increase with a chance of rain or snow developing as a disturbance approaches from the wes.t Highs will be in the upper 20’s to mid 30’s.



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