Snow staring mid-day and then watching very closely a storm for Wednesday night into Thursday. This will be the first real test for physics-based models versus AI-based models…
The snow will start mid-day today and then change to sleet and freezing rain and then rain inland tonight, and to rain along the coast, ending tomorrow afternoon. Temperatures will reach 60 in parts of Central NJ tomorrow.
Below is the latest potential snow map for this afternoon into this evening from the European model, courtesy WeatherBell Analytics. Click on the image to enlarge.
It will then be nice Monday and Tuesday, but much colder.
Wednesday, clouds will increase as a disturbance approaches from the Southeastern United States.
The disturbance in the Southeastern United States may merge with a disturbance approaching from the Great Lakes area. If these two disturbances merge it would cause a strong storm to develop near the Middle Atlantic Coast, with the potential to bring very heavy snow to our area.
Right now, the physics based model is much stronger and closer to the coast than the AI based model, but the AI based model is now coming much closer to being a big deal too as we get closer in time. The AI based model has been performing MUCH better on overage but this will be the first real test for the new AI based model versus the physics based model on an individual, very strong and dynamic storm. It will be very interesting to see how this works out.
It must be stated, that IF the physics based model is correct, there is blizzard potential with this storm for Wednesday night into Thursday, If the AI based model is correct, we would get some snow with this system, but not the blizzard the physics based model is currently producing.
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