The big one will remain elusive...

 

And the big one will remain elusive. They are rare for a reason, and the short-range American model was playing with us to a degree, as I had suspected, remaining hesitant to believe it, but it would have been interesting. There is something wrong with that model. It got the track right faster than the European this time, but it overdid the snow by a ridiculous amount.  The European model was a bit too far our to sea but was much more realistic with the snowfall output. The end result will be something between what the two models were showing previously. 

Below is the more realistic snow map from the European model. Click on the images to enlarge. Images courtesy WeatherBell Analytics.

And below is the latest snow map from the short-range American model, and as you can see, it was indeed joking with us, at least to some degree. Images courtesy WeatherBell Analytics. Click on the images to enlarge. 

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