Monday, April 11, 2011
I Won a Friendly Bet Today
I made a bet with a friend of mine last week that it would break 80 degrees today in Oakland, NJ. He uses weather.com (The online version of the Weather Channel). They were saying last week that it would be 65 today in Oakland, NJ. The National Weather Service was saying it would be 70. At the same time, I was saying it would be in the 80’s. The two reporting stations located in Oakland, NJ today had high temperatures of 83.3 and 83.4. My question is what is wrong with the National Weather Service and The Weather Channel. If I make a point of making a forecast for a certain day, most of the time I will beat them handily. It is just amazing to me that they actually are paid to make such horrible forecasts. I just do this for a hobby.
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
HA! I just check weather.com and they say 2am for t-storms. I turned on my radar- looks more like 1-1.5 hrs from now (7:30). We shall see! I saw 86 in oakland today.
ReplyDeleteNice and warm here today, but pretty humid. All of that warm air could give us some intense storms later, correct?
ReplyDeleteSpeaking of weather channel, the only thing I like about them are the graphic maps they produce, the live radar page, and the tropical updates. I don't use them for an update anymore. NWS is barely better and the other weather sites are so-so.
Remember when you called for 6-12 on April 1 and 90 percent saw no accumulation? The NWS got u that day - have to admit.
ReplyDeleteI think your following speaks for itself. Your terrific insight has helped all of us this winter to prepare for what could happen. You were more on target than some of those weather people on TV that made jokes when they were completely wrong, and were all full of themselves when they did get it right. I for one, paid more attention to your forecasts than I did the news on TV. So, when will we see the sun again? My vacation is almost over!
ReplyDeleteJay,
ReplyDeleteWhat? The National Weather Service was calling for 5-10 and issued Winter Storm Warnings. At the same time I was backing down on my accumulation forecasts and told everyone that they would likely see very little of anything, while the National Weather Service continued to predict 4-8 inches. Jay, your memory is lacking significantly. I went to sleep that night with full knowledge that it was entirely possible that no one would see much of anything, and I posted that information here, while the National Weather Service still had Winter Storm Warnings out for 4-8 inches of snow. As I stated before, do you work for the National Weather Service? Please let us know why you continue to defend their indefensible and continually very faulty forecasts. Thanks.
Karen,
ReplyDeleteThank you.
The high temperature in Newark on Monday was 87 degrees.
ReplyDeleteOh I didn't mean to sound like the NWS didn't bust big time also. But let's be fair - you were bashing them for calling for rain in the city that Monday before. And you were calling for 12-18 in the northwest hills 48 hours before the storm and even the night of said 1-3 for all north jersey and possibly 4. I don't work for NWS but just find it a bit humorous how hard you are on them when you kind of do the same thing: hug all models that's show big snows and discount any that don't show snow. I just don't understand how the NWS didn't take into account the time of year, climatology , rareness of nor Easters in April, angle of sun, temp of air and ground, etc. I just thought it was handled poorly - don't take it personally though -
ReplyDelete