The Latest American Model Brings an Intense Nor'easter Up the Coast Next Weekend

The latest run of the American model sure does make things interesting late next week. It starts the rain here on Wednesday and continues it through Thursday as the front stalls out over us. It then brings an extremely strong piece of energy dropping down out of Canada and through the middle of the United States into the Southeastern United States. There it meets up with the stalled out cold front on Friday and develops the whole system into an intense Nor’easter and tracks it northeast across the Delmarva Peninsula on Friday night, off the New Jersey Coast on Saturday morning. Then up into New England on Saturday night, probably changing the rain to snow before ending on Saturday night and bringing our area 3 inches of rain in total between Wednesday and Saturday, which could cause flooding problems. This track could cause the cold air to move into our area and could make things very interesting. The model shows it staying warm enough to be rain until the very end on Saturday night before it ends, but the path that this storm is projected to take could keep the cold air in place much better than the model is showing. Things are starting to get very interesting. This latest model run is putting the storm in the same place and of the same intensity that is has been doing on various model runs since Saturday. I think the American model may be trying to tell us something. Again, this could be an all rain-event, but that is not a certainty and this could get very interesting.