Afternoon European Model Update

The afternoon run of the European model looks much like this morning's run except for the fact that it moves the storm center a little further west of us, keeping the heaviest rains to our West on Tuesday night and as expected, it has backed off on the snow for Wednesday afternoon, now showing only flurries. As I said this morning, the European model did this with the previous two storms as well, so if this storm does take this track, it would be unlikely that we would see much of anything in the way of snow. However, I still feel that this storm has the potential to throw some surprises as it is a rather unusual situation with a very cold storm center diving into the Deep South. The main question is whether the models really have a good handle on where the storm will eventually develop it's surface low pressure. There will be very cold air available in Southern Canada. If this surface low pressure were to develop a little south and east of current projections it would bring that cold air into our region and produce a major snowstorm instead of rain. While that is NOT the most likely solution, nothing would surprise me with this unusual and bizarre of a storm system. I would check back in tomorrow morning for an update just in case there are any surprises for us with this storm. For those of you looking and hoping for snow, right now the Friday night storm is still looking good for a dusting to 1 or 2 inch type of storm. There is also a good chance of a significant storm the following Monday which could be a snowstorm. Stay tuned.