The European model agrees with the hurricane solution for
the East Coast with the center amazingly going inland in the exact same
location that the American model has it, on the Delmarva Peninsula, but several
days earlier, early next Monday morning, as opposed to next Wednesday evening when the
American model brings it on shore. The European model however has the
heaviest rain now over the Washington D.C. area where it has in excess of 5
inches of rain falling, but it still manages to bring us in excess of 3 inches
of rain as it has the center of the storm cutting north through Eastern
Pennsylvania. It then does tap the cold
air behind the storm, so after the storm passes with the flooding rains it adds
insult to injury with cold air behind it.
So, it now looks highly likely that we will be affected by a Tropical
system sometime between next Sunday and Tuesday with the most likely point of
landfall being the Delmarva Peninsula, and bringing flooding rains and strong
winds to New Jersey.
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