Sunday, October 21, 2012

Something Big is Likely to Happen Early Next Week - The Question is What?

The models have been all over the possibility of something very big happening early next week for several days now.  When there is this much model insistence, it usually means something big will happen.  The models are generally pretty good at showing when something big is going to happen in a certain time range.  What they are not particularity good at is figuring out exactly what is going to happen.  Each model run that is coming out is now showing something big early next week, but each model run is showing a different solution.  I have seen everything from big snowstorm, to big hurricane, to big Nor'easter, but no matter what, they are all big.  The latest model run of the American model does not have a hurricane, as it allows the hurricane to head to the east and out to sea, but it instead produces a strong Nor-Easter that brings in excess of 4 inches of rain to our area, followed by some Halloween snow showers for the middle of next week as it wraps the cold air in behind it and some moisture lingers as the low pressure area is pulled back to the Great Lakes.  The lower resolution version of the European model continues to show the hurricane scenario but it also wraps this storm back into the Great Lakes and manages to produce some snow showers behind the system for the middle of next week.  We will just have wait and see what happens, but it is appearing highly likely to me that something big will happen early next week.  Stay tuned. 

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