Ensemble Mean of the American Model and New U.S. Navy Model

The ensemble mean of the American model just came in and is MUCH further north with the storm than the operational run was and shows us getting about 6 inches here in Northern New Jersey and in New York City.  Also, the new U.S. Navy model has so far been leading the way with this storm, showing the trend first, then the other models have followed each move it has been making on the next model run.  This latest run that just came out is MUCH further north with the previous run from this afternoon that missed us completely.  It now gives us about 6 inches as well.  I would expect changes on every model run until all pieces of this storm have reached the West Coast on Sunday.  We can get from nothing, to a blizzard with 2 feet of snow on Wednesday and Thursday.  Check back for updates.