Afternoon European Model Update

The afternoon run of the European model was fascinating.  It managed to produce quite a storm with interaction from the polar vortex that brought snow as far south as northern Mississippi, Alabama, and Georgia, then heavy snow (a widespread area of around 2 feet) to the western Carolinas and western Virginia.  The storm then took an inland track, with the center of the low pressure moving directly over us (which allows warm air to surge in off the ocean and changes the snow to freezing rain and then rain).  For snow the center of low pressure needs to be to the south and east of your location.  This is the furthest west of all the models and may be a bit too far to the west, so we will need to keep a close eye on this storm.  It is still a long way out, but you are getting an idea of the potential.  I don't ever recall seeing snow that far south in the middle of November. We must continue to watch this situation closely as the potential is still clearly there for a major Nor'easter to affect our area with significant wintry weather for next Thursday.  Often when you start getting in closer from here the models tend to converge somewhere in between all the various solutions, but likely closer to what the European model has than the cold and complete miss that the American model is currently portraying.  I feel there is a good chance that the European model is indeed a bit too far west now with this storm.  Like I said, average things out.  Every other model is out to sea by quite a bit, not a little bit.  In my mind this argues for a solution similar but quite a bit further east near the coast.  Let's see how all this plays out.  Stay tuned and keep checking back for constant updates.  Please tell all your friends and family about the blog.