American Model Ensemble Mean

The ensemble mean of the American model of course does not agree with the operational run, however, it does show some signs of what the main operational run of the model was showing and it does keep things much colder as it has trended much further off shore with the low, keeping Northwest New Jersey snow for the entire storm with significant accumulations there, and some accumulation as well in Northeastern New Jersey before it changes over.  It then also holds back the second piece of energy, producing significant snow for North Carolina, Virginia, and even into South Jersey for Thanksgiving morning.  Of course, this is just our model that I don't trust, so we shall see what the other models say shortly.