Afternoon European Model Update

Well, the energy finally came on shore in Southern California and the models now have a much better supply of data.  In that regard, much as I said in my post last evening, the storm is now increasing in intensity on the models.  The European model now has Northern New Jersey down for 6-8 inches of snow with the possibility of a touch of ice at the end.  If it does mix with more sleet or freezing rain it will hold accumulations down a bit, but right now it looks like 6-8 inches of snow for all of Northern New Jersey on Saturday into Sunday morning.  Light snow or flurries should start on Saturday morning between 5 am and 7 am and become a bit heavier in the afternoon, and quite heavy at night.  It has also increased the intensity of the Tuesday storm now a bit, giving us a full inch of snow and a bit more even in some places in Northwest New Jersey.  I would assume that Winter Storm Watches will be issued for Northern New Jersey this evening for Saturday into Sunday morning.