The ensemble means of all the models actually look more impressive than the operational runs of each respective model and develop this storm further south than the operationsl runs. This is highly unusual as typically the operational runs would look more impressive as the ensemble mean typically smooths out the differences. This may indicate that the operational runs are not strong enough with this storm and future runs MAY come in with more snow. In addition, the ensemble means of each model are colder, with snow instead of rain for the Sunday night into Monday storm. Very strange situation. Very unusual. Check back for updates on the latest in this saga.
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