Sunday, March 23, 2014

Quick Update

No significant changes at this time, still looks like 1-4 inches is possible on Tuesday from the late morning into early Wednesday morning as we remain on the outer fringes of the 2nd strongest storm I have seen modeled in my life in our area, surpassed by only Superstorm Sandy.  Luckily the center of the storm will remain out to sea, however winds should still gust 40-50 mph on Wednesday throughout New Jersey.

EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
123 AM EDT SUN MAR 23 2014

VALID 12Z WED MAR 26 2014 - 12Z SUN MAR 30 2014


IN THE WAKE OF THE SUPERCYCLONE PASSING EAST OF THE ATLANTIC
BENCHMARK EARLY WEDNESDAY, THE GLOBAL NUMERICAL MODELS SHOW A
TREMENDOUS RELAXING OF THE CROSS-POLAR FLOW INTO THE UNITED
STATES. AFTER A COUPLE COLD DAYS EARLY IN THE PERIOD OVER THE
EAST, MUCH OF THE NATION SHOULD BE AWASH IN AIR OF PACIFIC ORIGIN,
WHICH WILL MEAN BOTH MILDER AND WETTER CONDITIONS. THE EXCEPTION
TO THE WETNESS SHOULD BE THE DESERT SOUTHWEST WHERE THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WILL HOLD ITS GROUND. THE GREATEST PRECIPITATION
SHOULD OCCUR ALONG THE WEST COAST NORTH OF SAN FRANCISCO, AND ALSO
FROM THE GULF COAST NORTHWARD INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. USED THE
12Z/22 ECENS MEAN AS A SYNOPTIC GUIDE FOR THE FRONTS AND
PRESSURES, AND A NEAR-EVEN BLEND OF THE ECENS MEAN AND NAEFS FOR
TEMPERATURES AND POPS.


CISCO

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