Saturday, March 22, 2014 - Evening Weather Discussion

We may be about to see one of the strongest storms in history develop off the East Coast on Tuesday and Wednesday....

First though, it will be much cooler tomorrow with highs in the low 40's.

Monday the Polar Vortex will make one last visit to Southeastern Canada prior to retreating for the spring and summer.  This will supply the Eastern United States with cold air and give us lows on Monday morning in the low 20's and highs in the mid 30's.

Then on Tuesday two disturbances will plunge southward from Canada into the Central Plains States and head toward North Carolina at the same time that another disturbance moves across the Gulf Coast.  These three disturbance will merge near Cape Hatteras, North Carolina on Tuesday night.  This storm will then move northeast to point about 150 miles east of New Jersey on Wednesday morning and to about 100 miles off of Cape Cod on Wednesday afternoon, intensifying rapidly as it does so, possibly to an intensity that was only surpassed by Superstorm Sandy.

If the above track verifies it would mean we would be on the outer fringes of one of the strongest Nor'easters in history.  Being on the fringes, we would have a chance of getting anywhere from 1-5 inches of snow, while coastal areas and Long Island would have a chance of getting quite a bit more.  Winds will also be very strong with this storm, likely gusting 40-50 mph in Northern New Jersey on Wednesday morning, 50-60 mph for eastern Long Island, and 60-80 mph for southeastern Massachusetts, with winds of 80-100 mph about 75 miles east of Cape Cod on Wednesday. 

Please keep in mind that with models showing us being on the fringes of this storm currently, any change in track will make a big difference in the effects of this storm on our area.  A track further to the east would bring us less or no snow and a track further to the west would give us more snow and stronger winds.  

Also, the disturbances responsible for producing this storm will all be coming ashore and into better sampling areas tonight and tomorrow morning, so changes are likely with the models over the next day, so please check back for updates.

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