Thursday, September 25, 2014

Thursday, September 25, 2014 - Morning Weather Discussion

Well, Mother Nature is likely to throw us a surprise today; luckily it is likely to be a good one for a change…

A few days ago it appeared as if it would be a nice day today.  Then it looked as if we had the possibility of flooding rains in Northern New Jersey today.  Now it looks as if it will be something in between, but possibly much closer to nothing than the flooding rains.  In fact, if the latest run of the high resolution European model is correct, some areas of Northern New Jersey may get exactly no rain today. 

It now appears that the European and British models were correct last evening when they showed the heavy rains over Southern New Jersey and the heaviest rains remaining off shore.  The short-range American model continues to show how it is nearly useless.  We are also paying Russia 70 million dollars per launch to send our astronauts into outer space because we currently have no way of doing so, so it really makes you think a bit.  Anyway, we may really luck out today in Northern New Jersey and New York City with only some light drizzle and showers.  Of course this can change, but that is the way it looks right now.  The latest short-range American model that just came out still continues to say that Northeastern New Jersey will get more than 2 inches of rain this morning, so we will have to keep an eye out just in case, by any chance, it is right.

Moving forward from here it will be nice through Monday with highs in the mid 70’s tomorrow, the upper 70’s on Saturday and Monday and the upper 70’s to low 80’s on Sunday. 

It will remain mild next week with just a slight chance of a shower on Monday night, Tuesday and again on Thursday.  Highs will range from the mid 70’s on Wednesday to the upper 60’s on Friday and Saturday.

Next Sunday and Monday a low pressure area may form once again in our area, bringing us a chance of some rain and highs in the low 60’s.

Next Tuesday and Wednesday should then be mostly sunny and cooler with highs around 60 and lows around 40.

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