Wednesday, September 24, 2014

Wednesday, September 24, 2014 - Morning Weather Discussion

Will we have flooding rains tomorrow?  That is the question…

A strong high pressure area is sliding off the New England coast today.  A weak Nor’easter is going to form near the coast tonight and it will then move slowly northeast tomorrow.  The combination of winds from these two systems will cause moist air to flow in off the ocean and into our area tonight and tomorrow.  The problem is that this situation looks eerily similar to the one that flooded Central Long Island with massive rains about a month or two ago.  The main question is will this actually set up like this, and if it does, where will the heaviest rains fall?  Those are VERY difficult questions to answer. 

There is a possibility that a very small area will receive some very heavy rains and trying to figure out where that will be, if it does happen, is nearly impossible at the moment.  Some areas may receive very little rain while others could potentially receive extremely heavy flooding rains.  My best guess at the moment would be that these areas would be over Southeastern Pennsylvania and possibly Eastern Long Island, but this could change and this area could affect all or parts of New Jersey as well.  Please stay tuned for an update this evening.  The focus of the heaviest rains would be early tomorrow morning. 

After this storm passes it will warm up for Saturday through Monday with highs around 80 all three days and possibly even in the low 80’s on Sunday.

There will be another chance of heavy rain next Wednesday into Thursday morning then it will warm once again, possibly to the low 80’s for next Friday and Saturday before cooling dramatically for the start of the following week.

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