And Now the British Model Too I Think

For those of you who are not aware of the British model, it is the 2nd most accurate model, behind only the European model, which is the last model to run. The American model is in 3rd place behind the British Model.

The British model also just did what I though might happen, as it has moved the track of the center a bit further off shore, coming to a point over Eastern Long Island by Wednesday morning.

This track would almost definitely mean snow for most, if not all of Northern New Jersey.

You see, it is all in how these two storms come together.

As I said before, the track that I was seeing did not favor rain, even though the data kept insisting on it.  The thing is, you never know for sure if it is right and sees something that I don't.

We shall see.

Unfortunately, the British model only goes out in time with the precipitation and temperature information through Tuesday morning and at that time it is snowing in Northern New Jersey but the rain snow line is cutting near Rt. 78.  Where does the rain/snow line go form there is the question? My guess, from looking at the track of the low pressure center that the model produces after this, is that it still might transition over to a bit of rain according to the model, but then go back to snow on Tuesday night.

The thing is, as I said before, with the track it is showing, it is extremely hard for me to believe this would be a rain storm in Northern New Jersey, but we shall see.

Unfortunately, it does not look as if it is going to cut back much on the precipitation, but again, I simply don't know because the British model does not give us that information past three days out.

Now we wait on the European model, which is truly the only model that matters.

We shall see.

European model update by 2:30.