Friday, December 5, 2014 - Morning Weather Discussion

A major Nor’easter is likely to develop off the Middle Atlantic Coast Monday through Wednesday…

First though, we will have increasing cloudiness today with light rain or light snow developing this evening and quickly changing to light rain.  Highs will be in the upper 30’s to low 40’s.

Saturday we will have light rain or showers that will become heavy at night.  The high will be in the low to mid 40’s.

Sunday the rain will come to an end early in the morning and then we will have clearing with a high in the upper 30’s.

Then things will get interesting…

The system that will be moving through here on Saturday, bringing the rain, will move of shore and reach a point near Bermuda.  At the same time a strong upper level low pressure area will be dropping down into the Northern Plains states from Canada.  In response to this upper level low pressure area dropping down from Canada, the storm near Bermuda will then go into reverse and start heading back toward us.  The storm system over the Upper Great Plains states will then start to slide east into the Great Lakes and transfer its energy to the storm that will be nearing the New Jersey coast on Tuesday.  This will cause precipitation to develop on Monday evening and continue into Wednesday afternoon or evening.   

The big question will be how quickly the low pressure area over the Great Lakes transfers its energy to the storm off the Middle Atlantic Coast?  If it transfers its energy quickly we would be looking at a very intense storm that could border on blizzard status for someone between the West Virginia and Virginia Mountains and Maine.  If it transfers its energy more slowly we would be looking at a weaker storm that would likely start as snow but change to rain on Tuesday morning, then back to snow as it starts to intensify by Tuesday evening and continuing into Wednesday.

I DO NOT yet know for sure what will happen.  I can only say that in either case someone between the mountains of Virginia and West Virginia, through Western Maryland, Central and Northeastern Pennsylvania, up through Northern New Jersey, New York State and New England, could get a very significant snowfall and some lucky area could get more than 2 feet of snow.

I know, I know, how much for Northern New Jersey?  It is too early to tell.  It all depends upon how quickly the energy transfers from the storm over the Great Lakes to the Nor’easter forming off the coast.  Right now the best guess would be that we get some snow at the start, then it MAY change to rain during the day on Tuesday, maybe.  Then back to snow by Tuesday evening, continuing through Wednesday.  We will have to wait and see how this all works out.

The snow should come to an end on Wednesday night, then luckily we should get some well-deserved nice weather for Thursday through next Monday with highs in the 40’s.

Then the next storm system will approach with a chance of rain or snow for next Tuesday and Wednesday.

Please join me this evening for the latest on this potential very significant Nor’easter for the Northeastern United States next Monday through Wednesday.

I will likely also post some quick updates this afternoon.

If you want to escape the cold and snow, my dad owns a real estate company in Florida. Click here to view his company website.  

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