Monday, December 22, 2014

Monday, December 22, 2014 - Morning Weather Discussion

No White Christmas for us, but we could break 60 degrees on Christmas Eve!

Today light precipitation will move into our area this afternoon or evening and it could start as light rain, freezing rain, sleet, or snow, but it should rather quickly change to rain in most locations.  Some areas of Northwestern New Jersey could drop below freezing after the precipitation starts and remain below freezing into the night, allowing for freezing rain.  So, some areas of Northwestern New Jersey could have some ice accumulation before temperatures eventually warm above freezing at night.  Otherwise, we will have rain through the day on Tuesday with highs today in the mid to upper 30’s and the mid 40’s tomorrow.

Christmas Eve a strong storm will start to develop in the Tennessee River Valley.  This storm will intensify rapidly as it heads northward into the Great Lakes.  This will allow lots of moisture and warm air to surge northward into our area for Christmas Eve and early Christmas morning, bringing us rain, heavy at times, and some wind.  Highs will rise through the day on Christmas Eve and into early Christmas morning, reaching or breaking 60 degrees. 

Expect the possibility of heavy travel delays up and down the East Coast on Christmas Eve with the heavy rain and wind.  And for those of you heading south to Florida for the holiday; remember that my dad owns a real estate company in Florida. Click here to view his company website.

Christmas morning we will have rain, heavy at times, in the pre-dawn hours, then it will start to clear out shortly after sunrise and temperatures will fall to the mid to upper 40’s. 

Friday should be mostly sunny with highs in the mid 40’s.

Saturday we will have increasing cloudiness in the afternoon and at night with a high in the low 50’s.

Sunday a low pressure area may form along an approaching cold front in the Southeastern United States and move northeastward in our direction.  If this storm develops, the position of the front at the time the storm approaches would determine whether we have rain or snow.  If the front is to our south and east we would have snow and if it is to our north and west we will have rain.  It is still too early to tell if this storm will develop and where the front will be at that time, so be sure to check back for updates.  The highs on Sunday should be around 40 but that will depend upon where the front is on Sunday.

Next Monday we should have mostly sunny skies with highs around 30.

Next Tuesday through Friday, a frontal system may line up from west to east across our area, with very cold air to our north and warm air to out south.  Waves of low pressure may ride along this front bringing on and off precipitation anytime from Tuesday through New Year’s Eve and New Year’s Day and into next Friday.  Depending on exactly where this front sets up we will have either rain, snow, freezing rain, or sleet from time to time through this period.  There is also the possibility that one or two of these waves of low pressure could develop into more important storms.  Highs should be in the low to mid 30’s through the period, but it could be warmer or colder depending upon whether we end up to the north or south of the front.  Please be sure to check back for updates.

Next weekend should then be nice with highs in the mid to upper 30’s next Saturday and the upper 30’s to low 40’s next Sunday.

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