VERY COLD air has arrived and will stick around for a while
as the Polar Vortex is visiting. In addition, an Alberta Clipper is approaching
and this will bring an explosive situation to our area tomorrow…
Well, the polar air has arrived and temperatures are in the
single digits throughout our area this morning and will only rise to the mid
teens today.
Tomorrow an Alberta Clipper AND the Polar Vortex (view the
key terms to the left of the page) will approach our area. This will cause snow
to develop between about 11 am and 2 pm. As the Alberta Clipper and Polar
Vortex approach the New Jersey Coast on Saturday evening there will be
explosive development of this storm as the extremely cold air of the Polar
Vortex meets the warm waters of the Gulf Stream off the New Jersey Coast. This
storm will turn into another blizzard for New England.
In our area the winds will become quite strong on Saturday evening
and into Sunday morning, possibly gusting as high as 50-60 mph, as the storm
bombs out in the Gulf Stream off the New Jersey Coast. There could very well
also be some heavy bursts of snow with near-blizzard conditions possible for
brief periods of time tomorrow evening causing the potential for hazardous
driving conditions from late tomorrow afternoon through Sunday morning. There
could also be some power outages if the high winds do actually occur. The
models have occasionally overdone the high wind potential this winter, so I am
NOT certain of the high winds, BUT this is a very dynamic situation with the
Polar Vortex meeting the warm Gulf Stream, so this is definitely possible. The
biggest concern would be that any power outages with the extremely cold
temperatures could lead to some very big problems with the potential for
frozen pipes and so on. Also, for anyone who owns property along the coast,
there could be some coastal flooding problems, especially as you head up into
New England where hurricane force winds are possible along with over a foot of
snow.
The snow will come to an end on Sunday morning with total
accumulations of 1-4 inches likely throughout our entire area, and up to 6
inches possible on Central Long Island. The winds will subside in the afternoon
but the temperatures will only warm to the low to mid teens.
Monday will then be sunny but extremely cold with lows in
the mid to low single digits below zero and highs only in the mid teens.
Tuesday there will likely be increasing cloudiness as one
storm system approaches from the Southeastern United States while an Alberta
Clipper drops down from Canada. IF these two systems merge they would bring us
a very significant snowstorm Tuesday night and Wednesday. There is however a
chance that they will fail to merge and if this were to occur we would just be
left with a chance of some snow showers or flurries, so be sure to check back
for updates. This situation is also a very volatile one with the possibility of
the Polar Vortex becoming involved so we really need to keep a close eye on
this potential. Again though, I want to reiterate that at this moment in time
ANYTHING is possible for Tuesday night and Wednesday. Highs on Tuesday and Wednesday should be in
the mid to upper 20’s.
After the Tuesday night and Wednesday snowstorm threat, it
should be nice Thursday through Saturday with highs gradually warming from the
low to mid 20’s on Thursday to the low 30’s by next Saturday.
Next Sunday clouds will increase, bringing a chance of snow
developing as a storm system approaches from the Southeastern United States.
Next Monday we will have a chance of snow with the
possibility of a coastal storm. Highs should be around 30.
Next Tuesday through Thursday we will have mostly sunny
skies with highs in the upper 20’s.
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