Thursday, February 19, 2015

Thursday, February 19, 2015 - Evening Weather Discussion

The lows will drop to zero to ten below zero tomorrow morning and I would not be surprised if some locations reached 15 degrees below zero.

The latest data continues to look as if this will be almost entirely a snow event in our area on Saturday evening into Sunday morning, as the warmer air won't move in until after the majority of the precipitation has ended.

The snow will start between 2 pm and 4 pm on Saturday afternoon and will end between about 5 am and 8 am on Sunday morning, although there will be a chance of some flurries or sprinkles lasting until late morning or early afternoon. 

The heaviest of the snow will occur between around 5 pm on Saturday evening and 1 am on Sunday morning, after which time it should just be light and intermittent.

I am expecting total accumulations of 2-4 inches for our entire area (Northern and Central NJ, Northeastern PA, Southeastern NY, New York City, and Long Island).

In fact, I am starting to think that many areas could end up with the 4 inches.

Then we have to watch for the possibility of a significant coastal storm to develop for next Wednesday. As of the moment it looks as if our area will be on the western fringe of what could turn out to be another very significant storm, so we will need to keep a very close eye on this one, especially if you live on Long Island or in New England, where this could turn into yet another blizzard. We shall see. 

Another coastal storm will then threaten us with more snow next Saturday night into Monday morning.

Then a storm will approach from the southwest next Tuesday and Wednesday, threatening us with more snow once again.

Please check back tomorrow morning for the latest information.

Have a wonderful evening.

"Weather on the Edge" by Dr. Edge.

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