Friday, March 6, 2015

Friday, March 6, 2015 - Morning Weather Discussion

First of all, this blog is breaking through 2.1 million all-time page views this morning. I could have never imagined such a thing. Thank all of you who made this possible! Special thanks go out to Mike and Heather Michels, Jim Dunbar, Dave Conca, Joe Diblasi, and Dan Bertelli of Indian Hills High School in Oakland, NJ, who were instrumental in producing this blog. Below is a photo of them taken a few days ago – minus Dan Bertelli who was not available at the time of the photo.


The unusually cold and unsettled weather will continue until further notice…

If you were watching some of the New York City television weather people only a few days ago you would have believed that spring would have arrived after their forecast of 50 on Wednesday as that storm would have been the pattern breaker. The New York television people were also saying that we would not see single digits again…

Yes, there was no mention of snow for yesterday by some of the New York City news people only a few days ago.

Meanwhile I was telling everyone that we had a chance at a significant snowstorm…

Well, here I sit and type this it is 6 degrees outside and we had a snowstorm that brought the entire region 3-10 inches of snow. I said 1-5 initially but the models the night before went ballistic with the storm so I increased the entire region to 5-10 inches, then lowered to 4-10. Meanwhile the New York City television guy was showing 2-4 in New York City. Well, some people in our area got 2-4 inches but many, especially near New York City and New York City itself, got quite a bit more, just as I said, with Central Park recording 7 inches, Manhattan recording 7.5 inches, and Staten Island recording 8.6 inches.

Click here to view snowfall totals for Northeastern NJ, Southeastern NY, New York City, and Long Island.

Click here to view snowfall totals for Northwestern, Central and Southern NJ and Eastern Pennsylvania.

Now, moving forward some of the New York City weather people are saying that spring is here and there is no wintry weather in the forecast. As you will see, my forecast is quite different. In fact, I am quite concerned about a storm that is likely to develop as we head into next weekend…

First though, it will be nice but cold today with highs only in the low to mid 20’s.

Tomorrow clouds will increase in the afternoon and we will have a chance of a snow shower at night.

Sunday will be variably cloudy with a chance of a snow shower.

Sunday night into Monday morning we will have a chance of a snow shower or a little light snow as a couple of weak storm systems approach our area.

Then Tuesday morning a storm system will approach from the south, bringing a chance of some snow, sleet or freezing rain in the morning, followed by a chance for rain in the afternoon.

Wednesday and Thursday should then be nice with highs in the 40’s.

Then next Friday afternoon through the following Thursday we will have to watch as a cold high pressure area will start to build down from Canada at the same time that a strong low pressure area moves in off the Pacific Ocean, reaches the Gulf Coast, then starts to move northward. Depending on exactly how this situation sets up, we will have a chance of rain, snow, freezing rain, or sleet next Friday afternoon through the following Thursday as the storm may move very slowly, as they often do in the month of March. Several areas of low pressure may also form and redevelop along the front.

Check back for updates…

"Weather on the Edge" by Dr. Edge.

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