COLD, and then some snow, ice, and rain…
It will be quite windy tongiht, with gusts over 40 mph possible, then it will be cold again tomorrow with lows dropping as low as
the upper single digits in Northeastern PA and highs from the upper teens to
low 20’s in Northeastern PA to the upper 20’s in Central and Northeastern PA,
NYC, and on Western Long Island.
Saturday, snow will develop between about 1 am and 3 am from
west to east across the Allentown and New York City Metropolitan areas. The
snow will become heavy at times between about 4 am and 6 am and then will start
to change to rain from south to north across our area, starting at around 8 am
in Central NJ and East Central PA, although it will change to sleet and
freezing rain in East Central PA from about 8 am until 11 am, it will then
change to rain in Northern NJ, NYC, and on Long Island between about 9 am and 10
am, although it will remain sleet and freezing rain in Northwestern NJ until
around 10 or 11 am, then it will change to rain in Northeastern PA, Southeastern
NY and Fairfield County, CT, around 10 and 11 am, although it may remain
freezing rain in Northeastern PA until around 12-2 pm.
I am going to lower snowfall accumulation projections, as
the seasonal trend has been for the warm air to blast its way in faster than
the data projects, and I am seeing some signs of this already. Snowfall projections are as follows:
Coating to an inch or slightly more: Central NJ (from Central Hunterdon County,
the southern two-thirds of Somerset County, and Union County, southward), NYC, Long
Island, and Coastal Fairfield County, CT. The higher amounts in NJ will occur
In Hunterdon, Somerset, and Union Counties
1-3 inches:
Northeastern NJ
2-4 inches with up to 5 inches possible in the higher
elevations: East Central and
Northeastern PA, Northwestern NJ, Southeastern NY State and inland Fairfield
County, CT
I will take a look again at this tomorrow morning to see if
I need to adjust downward again. This
would not surprise me at all, as this has been the seasonal trend, although it
is difficult to imagine considering how cold it is now, but it will indeed warm
up quickly. Anyway, if it does change to rain quicker it will open the
potential for significant icing, especially in East Central and Northeastern
PA, Northwestern NJ, and Southeastern NY State, so that will be the other thing
we need to keep an eye on.
No matter what, travel will be extremely difficult Saturday
morning as the ground and roads are now completely frozen, so please plan on
using extreme caution if you must drive Saturday morning. The temperatures will
finally rise late in the day, reaching the 40’s and 50’s late at night.
Sunday morning in the pre-dawn hours temperatures will
actually rise to the 50’s throughout our area, and even to the low 60’s in
Central NJ, then will fall through the day as a cold front moves through our
area with some rain in the morning. Temperatures will fall to the 30’s
throughout most of our area by evening.
Monday through Wednesday then look nice with highs in the 20’s
to low 30’s Monday, the 30’s Tuesday, and the 40’s next Wednesday.
Next Thursday we will have increasing cloudiness with a
chance of rain or snow developing at night as a disturbance approaching from
the west may combine with a disturbance approaching from the Southeastern
United States to produce a Nor’easter along the Middle Atlantic Coast. Those of
you hoping for a White Christmas, cross your fingers for this one to work out. Highs
will be in the 30’s inland and the low to mid 40’s along the coast and on Long
Island.
Next Friday we will have a chance of rain or snow ending in
the morning, followed by clearing. Highs will be in the 30’s to low 40’s.
Christmas Eve and Christmas Day then look nice with highs in
the upper 30’s to mid 40’s.
Next Monday and Tuesday we will have a chance of rain or
snow with highs in the 30’s to low 40’s.
Next Wednesday will be nice with highs in the 30’s to low 40’s.
Have a wonderful evening and please join me in the morning
for the latest on the impending snow/ice/rain for Saturday…
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