An incredible snowstorm will likely hit areas from Northern Ohio, through Northwestern PA, Western and Northern NY State, Vermont, New Hampshire, and Maine, where the snowfall could be measured in feet. In our immediate area it is looking like a mixture for parts of our area and flooding rain in others. It will also be very windy with this storm…
Tomorrow will be variably cloudy with a chance of a snow flurry in the afternoon or evening as a cold front passes through our area. Highs will be in the mid to upper 30’s.
Thursday, clouds will increase with light snow developing at night, then changing to rain in Central NJ, NYC, and on Long Island, and eventually changing to rain in far eastern sections of Northern NJ, in Southern Westchester County, NY, and in Fairfield County, CT, as some warm air moves in off the ocean. Highs will be in the upper 20’s to mid 30’s.
Friday, the light rain and snow will end in the morning, followed by clearing, as a warm front passes through our area. Highs will range from the upper 30’s to low 40’s in Northeastern PA, to the upper 40’s to low 50’s in Northeastern NJ.
Total possible snowfall accumulations as follows:
Trace to a Coating: Coastal NJ and Long Island
Coating to an Inch: Central NJ, NYC, and Fairfield County, CT
Coating to an inch or two: Northeastern NJ, Orange, Rockland and Putnam Counties in NY
1-3 inches: East Central and Northeastern PA, Northwestern NJ, and Orange County, NY
I am going to use the European model as the basis for the weekend forecast. Keep in mind that any small change in the track of the storm will make a big difference in the forecast.
Saturday will start out nice, but clouds will then increase, with snow developing at night, likely changing to rain in Central NJ, NYC, and on Long Island, and mixing with freezing rain or sleet in East Central and Northeastern PA, Northern NJ, Southeastern NY State, and in Fairfield County, CT. Highs will be in the upper 20’s to mid 30’s.
Sunday there will be a heavy mixture of snow, sleet, freezing rain, and rain in Northeastern PA, with a significant accumulation of snow and ice possible. There will be heavy rain or a mixture of rain, freezing rain, sleet and snow in East Central PA, Northern NJ, Southeastern NY State, and Fairfield County, CT, with some accumulation of snow and ice possible. And there will likely be heavy rain in Central NJ, NYC, and on Long Island.
There will likely be some flooding in any areas that receive rain on Sunday, with total rainfall or liquid equivalent amounts of 1.5-2.5 inches likely.
It will also be very windy on Sunday with gusts of up to 50 mph possible inland and up to 60 mph possible along the coast, and especially on Long Island.
If the European model is correct with the track of the storm, the highs on Sunday will range from the upper 20’s to mid 30’s in Northeastern PA to the upper 40’s along the NJ Coast.
Monday will be variably cloudy and very cold, with a chance of a snow squall, snow shower, or flurry, as some Lake Effect moisture may reach our area. Highs will be in the upper single digits and teens.
Next Tuesday and Wednesday will then be variably cloudy with highs in the 20’s to low 30’s next Tuesday and the 30’s next Wednesday.
Next Thursday through Saturday then look unsettled with a chance of rain or snow showers each day as a couple of disturbances pass through our area. Highs will be in the mid 30’s to low 40’s next Thursday, the mid 30’s to low 40’s next Friday, and the upper 20’s and 30’s next Saturday.
Next Sunday and Monday then look nice with highs in the mid 20’s to low 30’s.
Have a wonderful evening and please join me early in the morning for the latest information…
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