Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 690
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
615 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and Eastern New York
Northeast Pennsylvania
* Effective this Thursday night and Friday morning from 615 PM
until 200 AM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Low-topped convection including a few thunderstorms will
continue to intensify and rapidly accelerate northeastward across
the region this evening. Damaging winds will be the primary risk,
with a brief tornado or two possible as well.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles east and west of a line from 50 miles west southwest
of Monticello NY to 30 miles northwest of Glens Falls NY. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 686...WW 687...WW
688...WW 689...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
22045.
...Guyer
======================================================================
030
WWUS40 KWNS 312213
WWP0
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH PROBABILITIES FOR WS 0690
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0511 PM CDT THU OCT 31 2019
WS 0690
PROBABILITY TABLE:
PROB OF 2 OR MORE TORNADOES : 20%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE STRONG /EF2-EF5/ TORNADOES : 10%
PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE WIND EVENTS : 70%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE WIND EVENTS >= 65 KNOTS : 30%
PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE HAIL EVENTS : <05%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE HAIL EVENTS >= 2 INCHES : <05%
PROB OF 6 OR MORE COMBINED SEVERE HAIL/WIND EVENTS : 90%
&&
ATTRIBUTE TABLE:
MAX HAIL /INCHES/ : 0.5
MAX WIND GUSTS SURFACE /KNOTS/ : 65
MAX TOPS /X 100 FEET/ : 450
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR /DEGREES AND KNOTS/ : 22045
PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION : NO
&&
FOR A COMPLETE GEOGRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE WATCH AND
WATCH EXPIRATION INFORMATION SEE WOUS64 FOR WOU0.
$$
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