A disturbance is approaching our area and will cause a bit of light snow/snow showers/flurries this morning and early afternoon, with a coating of accumulation possible in places, then rain developing this evening in Central NJ, possibly changing to freezing rain in parts of West Central NJ, and snow, freezing rain, or rain developing in East Central PA, Northeastern NJ, NYC, and on Long Island, likely changing to freezing rain and possibly a bit of rain before changing back to freezing rain in many places, snow developing in Northeastern PA, Northwestern NJ, Southeastern NY State, and Fairfield County, CT, changing to freezing rain in all of East Central PA and Northern NJ gradually overnight, and possibly into NYC and on parts of Long Island. Highs will be in the 30’s.
Tomorrow the snow will gradually change to freezing rain early in the morning in Northeastern PA, Southeastern NY State, and Fairfield County, CT, freezing rain, changing to rain in East Central PA, West Central NJ, and Northeastern NJ, in the late morning, possibly changing back to snow everywhere before ending at night. Lows will be in the upper 20’s and 30’s, with highs in the 30’s, but with some low to mid 40’s along the NJ Coast.
Total possible snowfall accumulations:
Trace to an inch: Central NJ
Coating to an inch or two: Southern portions of East Central PA, Northern portions of Central NJ, Southern portions of Northern NJ (roughly along the Rt. 78 corridor), NYC, Long Island
One to Three inches: Northern portions of East Central PA, Central portions of Northern NJ (roughly along the Rt. 80 corridor), Southern Westchester County, NY
Three to Six inches: Northeastern PA, far Northern NJ (Sussex, far Northern Morris, Northern Passaic and far northwestern Bergen Counties) Southern NY State (excluding Southern Westchester County, and Fairfield County, CT
Total Possible Freezing Rain accumulations:
Trace to a quarter inch possible: Northeastern NJ just inland from the Hudson River
Quarter to a half inch possible: East Central and Northeastern PA, Northern NJ (inland from the Hudson River, Southeastern NY State, and Fairfield County, CT
Below is the latest snow map from the European model ensemble mean (an average of the European model run 50 different ways for various conditions). Image courtesy WeatherBell Analytics. Click on the image to enlarge.
Below is the latest snow map from the European model that just came out, courtesy WeatherBell Analytics. Click on the map to enlarge.
And below is the latest freezing rain map from the European model that just came out, courtesy WeatherBell Analytics.
Wednesday will be variably cloudy with a chance of a snow flurry, snow shower, or snow squall in the late afternoon or evening as some Lake Effect moisture reaches our area. Highs will be in the upper 20’s and 30’s.
Thursday will be variably cloudy with a chance of a snow flurry in the morning. Lows will be in the mid single digits to mid teens with highs in the mid teens to mid 20’s.
Friday will be mostly sunny with highs in the mid 20’s to mid 30’s.
Saturday clouds will increase with a slight chance of rain or snow developing at night as a storm will develop in the Southeastern United States, but may remain to our south. Highs will be in the 30’s.
Sunday there will be a slight chance of rain or snow in the morning, followed by clearing, as the storm should remain to our south and east. Highs will be in the mid 30’s to mid 40’s.
Next Monday through Christmas Day will then be nice with highs in the upper 30’s to mid 40’s next Monday and Christmas Eve, and in the mid 30’s to mid 40’s Christmas Day.
Next Thursday, December 26th, and next Friday, December 27th, are then looking variably cloudy with a chance of a rain or snow shower next Thursday, and a chance of a snow shower next Friday morning. Highs will be in the mid 30’s to low 40’s next Thursday, and in the 30’s next Friday.
Next Saturday, December 27th, is looking variably cloudy with highs in the 30’s.
Next Sunday, December 28th, clouds will increase late in the day. Highs will be in the 30’s.
Have a fantastic day!
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