Sunday, December 15, 2019

Sunday Evening European Model Snow and Ice Maps

The evening run of the European model that just came out is now very much in line with my forecast from this afternoon, having moved the snow line a bit further south. If the operational run of the European model is correct, and it may be, I will have to increase snow amounts in Northeastern PA, Sussex and Northern Passaic Counties, Southeastern NY, and in Fairfield County, CT. Especially in Southeastern NY State, where the model is now showing up to 7 inches of snow falling. We will have to wait and see if it holds onto this solution in the morning. I will also add the European model ensemble mean snow map below when that comes out in about 45 minutes.

Below is the latest run of the European model ensemble mean (an average of the European model run 50 different ways for various conditions), courtesy WeatherBell Analytics. Click on the image to enlarge.


Below is the latest snow map from the European model that just came out, courtesy WeatherBell Analytics. Click on the map to enlarge.


And below is the latest freezing rain map from the European model that just came out, courtesy WeatherBell Analytics.


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