Wednesday, February 5, 2020

Wednesday, February 5, 2020 - Evening Weather Discussion

Freezing rain looking like less of a threat, but heavy rain and wind is still a possibility, and heavy snow possible in far Northern PA…

Rain will develop tonight and possibly a bit of freezing rain at the start in parts of Northeastern PA, Northwestern NJ, Orange, Rockland, and Putnam Counties in NY State, and in Northern Fairfield County, CT.

Below are the freezing rain maps from the latest European model and the latest short-range American model, courtesy WeatherBell Analytics. Click on the images to enlarge.



Tomorrow there will be rain, possibly becoming heavy at times at night, as a strong disturbance approaches from the west. Highs tomorrow will be at night and will range from the upper 30’s to mid 40’s in Northeastern PA and Orange County, NY, to the upper 50’s to low 60’s in Central NJ. It will also become windy at night along the coast and on Eastern Long Island, with gusts of up to 50 mph possible.

Friday there will be rain, ending in the afternoon and evening from south to north. The rain could change to snow in Northeastern PA in the afternoon and evening before ending as the disturbance merges with another disturbance, intensifying rapidly over our area. The snow could accumulate in Northeastern PA to from a trace to up to 6 inches or more in far Northern PA near Susquehanna County. There could flooding in some places with total rainfall amounts of 1-3.5 inches in most locations. It will also be windy, with gusts up to 60 mph possible. Highs will range from the 30’s in far Northern PA to the low 60’s in Central NJ and NYC in the morning, then dropping.

Below is the latest maximum wind gust map from the European model for Thursday night and Friday, courtesy WeatherBell Analytics.


Below is the latest rainfall map from the European model for Thursday into Friday morning, courtesy WeatherBell Analytics.


Below are the snow maps from the latest European model and the latest short-range American model, courtesy WeatherBell Analytics. Click on the images to enlarge.



Saturday and Sunday will then be variably cloudy with a chance of a snow shower or flurry as a weak disturbance and some Lake Effect moisture could reach our area. Highs will be in the mid 20’s to mid 30’s Saturday and the mid 30’s to low 40’s Sunday.

Monday and Tuesday will then be variably cloudy with a chance of a shower. Highs will be in the 40’s Monday and the upper 30’s to mid 40’s Tuesday.

Next Wednesday, February 12th, will be variably cloudy with a chance of rain developing at night as a disturbance approaches from the west. Highs will be in the upper 30’s to mid 40’s.

Next Thursday, February 13th, there will be a chance of rain with highs in the 40’s.

Next Friday, February 14th, is then looking variably cloudy with highs in the mid 30’s to mid 40’s.

Next Saturday, February 15th through next Monday February 17th, are looking variably cloudy with a chance of a rain or snow shower each day. Highs will be in the upper 20’s to mid 30’s next Saturday and the 30’s next Sunday and Monday.

Next Tuesday, February 18th, is then looking variably cloudy with highs in the 30’s.

Have a wonderful evening!


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