Monday, February 12, 2024

Models All Over the Place

 

This storm is insanely difficult to predict at this point and has become Mission Impossible....



The European model continues to insist on a further south and east track and the European model is typically the most accurate model.  This would produce a decent snowfall in most places but not huge anywhere in our area.  Meanwhile the short-range American and Canadian models are showing a much further north and west track, meaning much heavier snowfall amounts further north and west. Again, typically the European model is correct, but it is not always correct, as nothing or no one is. So, we just have to leave my earlier forecast amounts in place until we get a better handle on this, which will come later today.  Obviously we are running out of time at this point, which is frustrating, but it is what it is, and often with potential blockbuster type storms you don't know whether it is a hit or miss until the last second.  So, for now, just look at the snowfall maps in the prior post.  These are the most updated maps from each model and I will continue updating them through this evening. 


Time will tell..



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