And Privately, Here is what the main National Weather Service Forecast Office is Saying - Hint, they agree with me.

PRELIMINARY EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
459 AM EDT TUE OCT 25 2011

VALID 12Z SAT OCT 29 2011 - 12Z TUE NOV 01 2011


USED PRIMARILY THE 00Z/25 ECMWF FOR THE PRELIMINARY FRONTS AND
PRESSURES FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...WITH A MINOR INCORPORATION OF THE
12Z/24 ECENS MEAN TO SOFTEN THE PLACEMENT AND INTENSITY OF THE
MAJOR SYNOPTIC SYSTEMS...A POINT STILL VERY MUCH IN CONTENTION.
THE GFS IS A FLAT...PROGRESSIVE OUTLIER WITH THE WAVE EMERGING
FROM THE SOUTHERN STATES LATE IN THE SHORT RANGE. THE ECMWF AND
UKMET HAVE SHOWN THE BEST CONTINUITY WITH THE HANDLING OF THIS
SYSTEM DURING THE LAST SEVERAL RUNS...ALLOWING FOR ENOUGH
DEVELOPMENT OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST TO SPREAD SIGNIFICANT RAINS
INLAND...WITH SNOW INDICATED FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST DAY 4
INTO EARLY DAY 5. THE PATTERN RETAINS A HIGH AMPLITUDE IN THE
WAKE OF THE STORM FROM COAST TO COAST...WITH THE POLAR FRONT
SUPPRESSED WELL TO THE SOUTH.


CISCO