National Weather Service Headquarters Thinks We are Still On for the Storm on Saturday

PRELIMINARY EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
458 AM EDT WED OCT 26 2011

VALID 12Z SUN OCT 30 2011 - 12Z WED NOV 02 2011


USED THE 12Z/25 ECENS MEAN FOR THE PRELIMINARY FRONTS AND
PRESSURES FOR DAY 3...TRANSITIONING TO AN EVEN BLEND OF THE 12Z/25
ECENS MEAN AND 00Z/26 GEFS MEAN THEREAFTER. THERE IS STILL A GOOD
DEAL OF MODEL SPREAD WITH THE HANDLING OF THE WAVE COMING TOGETHER
NEAR THE MID ATLANTIC COAST DAY 3...WITH THE UKMET AND A FEW
00Z/26 GEFS MEMBERS INDICATING A LOW BOMBING EAST OF NEW JERSEY
LATE DAY 3...THEN PASSING CLOSE TO THE ATLANTIC BENCHMARK BEFORE
HEADING INTO THE NORTH ATLANTIC AS A DEEP CYCLONE. THE ECENS MEAN
GIVES THOSE DEVELOPED SOLUTIONS THEIR DUE IMPORTANCE MORE SO THAN
THE GEFS MEAN...WHICH IS WHY IT DOMINATED THE DAY 3 MANUAL BLEND.

CISCO