Big Changes With This Afternoon's European Model - Snowstorm Maybe

The European model did a significant flip from the previous run, and now keeps the storm to the south and east of us, rather than cutting it up into the Great Lakes.  This path is very similar to the track it showed yesterday morning when I posted about the possibility of a snowstorm on Wednesday.  It is not as cold as yesterday morning's run though and consolidates everything into one storm on Tuesday, instead of two like on yesterday's run.  It does not strengthen the storm as much as yesterday morning's run and this does not allow the storm to pull the cold air down into our area initially.  The model does however indicate that we could get some frozen or freezing precipitation at the start of the storm early on Tuesday morning, if it starts before or around sunrise. Then it would change to rain during the day, prior to changing back to snow as the storm starts to strengthen near the coast on Tuesday night into Wednesday morning, when it then shows the possibility of an inch or two of accumulation. Rather than looking too much at the details though this far out, what is interesting is the flip-flopping of the model.  This is indicating to me that the model is having a difficult time determining how to handle this storm and it really could go either way at this point. We could end up with rain, or a significant snowstorm, or something in between.  This storm is particularly interesting to me, as I strongly believe that it may give us a good feel for how the weather will be this whole winter, as we are currently undergoing a pattern a change, and once the pattern develops, it often holds throughout the majority of the winter.  Please check back for continuous updates on this potential storm next Tuesday.  Again, on a side note, the bowling team at Indian Hills High School in Oakland, NJ is doing a fundraiser for Superstorm Sandy relief.  I would encourage everyone who reads this blog to consider donating $20 to Superstorm Sandy relief, and with your donation, you will receive a “The Edge Weather” T-shirt.   Again, proceeds will be going to Superstorm Sandy relief, and will benefit people who were affected by this terrible storm.  If you attend Indian Hills High School or know someone who does, please see an Indian Hills bowler, Mr. Michels, someone from the Technology Department, or Mr. Edgerton with your donation of $20 cash, or check made payable to “Indian Hills High School”.  Thank you.