Saturday, February 28, 2015

Quick Afternoon Update

The snow should start between about 8 am and 10 am tomorrow morning and end between 8 am and 10 am on Monday morning, although most accumulating snow should be over between 1 am and 4 am.

Total forecast accumulations as follows, with lower amounts to the south due to the likelihood of a mixture with sleet/freezing rain/rain roughly south of Rt. 78.

Around 4 Inches – Lehigh, Northern Bucks, Northampton, Monroe, and Pike Counties in PA, Northern Hunterdon, Warren, Sussex, Morris, Northern Somerset, Essex, Passaic, Hudson, Bergen Counties in NJ, Orange, Rockland, and Westchester Counties in NY, New York City, and all of Long Island

Around 3 Inches – Southern Bucks in PA, Southern Hunterdon, Mercer, Southern Somerset,  and Middlesex Counties in NJ, and Staten Island NY

Around 2 Inches – Monmouth County, NJ

Dusting to 2 Inches – the rest of Southern NJ

Then the next storm moves in on Tuesday with snow starting between 4 pm and 6 pm, accumulating 1- 3 inches before mixing with and changing to sleet and then freezing rain by around 10 pm, and then to rain by around 1 am on Wednesday morning. A tenth to a quarter inch of ice could accumulate prior to the changeover to rain.

The cold front will then move through in the afternoon, clearing things out a bit before the next storm approaches from the southeast bringing a chance for a few inches of snow Wednesday night into Thursday morning.

We may then get a bit of snow on Friday night. 

It is then looking as if the last potential winter storm to worry about for this season will be the following Monday or Tuesday.

Then Spring-like weather should arrive the following weekend.

We shall see.

More later with the Evening Forecast Discussion.

"Weather on the Edge" by Dr. Edge.

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