Saturday, December 10, 2016

Saturday, December 10, 2016 - Morning Weather Discussion

A bit of snow possible today, then a bigger storm tomorrow night…

We will have a chance of some Lake Effect snow showers making it into our area today that could leave a coating of snow in some places. Highs today will be in the upper 20’s to mid 30’s.

The storm did trend a bit warmer and weaker this morning, resulting in lower snowfall amounts in all locations.

Tomorrow a storm system will approach from the west, causing snow to develop between about 2 pm and 5 pm from west to east across the Allentown and New York City Metropolitan areas. Highs will be in the upper 20’s to mid 30’s.

Monday some warm air will work into our area, causing the snow to change to rain in Central NJ between about 2 am and 4 am, then in East Central PA, most of Northern NJ (except possibly extreme Northwestern sections), Rockland and Westchester Counties in NY, NYC, Long Island, and in Fairfield County, CT, between about 4 am and 7 am, possibly remaining snow in Northeastern PA, far Northwestern NJ, and in Orange and Putnam Counties in NY.

Total possible accumulations are as follows:

Coating to an inch possible: Central NJ, NYC, and on Long Island

An inch or two possible:  East Central PA, Northeastern NJ, Southern Rockland and Westchester Counties in NY, and in Southern Fairfield County, CT

1-3 inches possible:  Northwestern NJ, Northern Rockland and Westchester Counties in NY

2-4 inches possible:  Northeastern PA, possibly in far Northwestern NJ, Orange and Putnam Counties in NY, and in Northern Fairfield County, CT

The rain and snow will end in the afternoon or early evening.  Lows will be in the mid to upper 20’s in Northeastern PA, the upper 20’s to low 30’s in Southeastern NY and far Northern Fairfield County, CT, the low 30’s in East Central PA, Northern NJ and Southern Fairfield County, CT, the mid 30’s in Central NJ, and NYC, and the upper 30’s to low 40’s along the coast and on Long Island. Highs will be in the upper 30’s to mid 40’s.

Tuesday will be variably cloudy with a chance of a flurry. Highs will be from the mid to upper 30’s in Northeastern PA to the mid 40’s in Central NJ.

Wednesday, we will have increasing cloudiness as two separate disturbances approach our area. One disturbance will approach from the west in the Northern Jet Stream and another will approach from the south in the Southern Jet Stream. These two storms may merge near the Middle Atlantic Coast. If they do, they will bring us a chance of snow Wednesday night. We will just have to wait and see how this one works out.  Highs will be mainly in the 30’s.

Thursday there will be a chance of snow ending in the morning, then clearing. Highs will be in the teens to low 20’s inland and in the mid 20’s along the coast.

Friday will be variably cloudy with a chance of a snow shower. Highs will be in the upper teens to mid 20’s.

Next Saturday there will be a chance of rain or snow as a strong storm system approaches from the west and pushes into the very cold air in our area. This storm has the potential to bring some significant snowfall and possibly ice as well to our area next weekend. Highs will be in the upper 20’s to mid 30’s inland.

Next Sunday we will have a chance of rain or snow ending in the morning, followed by clearing. Highs will be in the upper 20’s to mid 30’s.

Next Monday, Tuesday, and Thursday then look nice with highs in the 20’s inland and the low 30’s along the coast next Monday and Tuesday, and in the upper 20’s to mid 30’s next Thursday.

Next Wednesday there will be a chance of rain or snow as a disturbance approaches from the west. Highs will be in the mid 20’s to low 30’s inland.

Have a fantastic day and please join me this evening for the latest information.

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