Light snow will develop tonight between about 7 pm in the Allentown PA area and 11 pm on Eastern Long Island as a weak disturbance approaches our area.
The light snow will end early tomorrow morning, followed by variably cloudy skies and highs in the mid 30’s to mid 40’s.
Total possible snowfall accumulations tonight:
Trace to a coating: East Central NJ, Long Island, and Southern Fairfield County, CT
Coating to an inch: East Central PA, West Central NJ, Northeastern NJ, NYC, Rockland, Westchester, and Putnam Counties in NY and Northern Fairfield County, CT
Half inch to an inch or two: Northeastern PA, Northwestern NJ, and Orange County, NY
Isolated amounts between 2 and 3 inches: Northeastern Pike County, PA and Western Orange County, NY
Saturday, clouds will increase, with snow developing between about 2 pm in Allentown and Scranton PA, and 8 pm on Eastern Long Island. The snow will then change to rain in parts of East Central PA, Central NJ, parts of Northeastern NJ, NYC, Long Island, most of Westchester County, NY, and Southern Fairfield County, CT. The snow will change to sleet and freezing rain in parts of East Central PA, parts of Northeastern NJ, Orange, Rockland, and Putnam Counties in NY, and in Northern Fairfield County, CT. Highs will be in the 30’s.
Sunday, the rain could then change back to sleet and freezing rain in the morning in Central NJ, the rest of Northeastern NJ, NYC, Long Island and Southern Fairfield County, CT, before ending in the late morning and early afternoon in those locations. The precipitation will end in the morning elsewhere. Highs will be in the morning and will range from the mid to upper 20’s in far Northern Northeast PA and Orange County, NY, to the mid 50’s in East Central NJ and on Eastern Long Island. There will actually be about a 20-degree temperature difference in about a 10-mile-wide area north or south of a line currently forecast to exist from about Trenton to Perth Amboy, to Brooklyn, to the north shore of Long Island. North of this line highs will be in the mid 30’s and south of this line highs will be in the low to mid 50’s in the morning, before dropping in the late morning and afternoon.
THE TOTALS BELOW ARE BASED ON THE CURRENT AVAILABLE DATA. ANY SHIFT NORTHWEST WITH THE TRACK OF THE STORM WILL MEAN LESS SNOW AND ICE AND ANY TRACK FURTHER SOUTHEAST WILL MEAN MORE SNOW AND ICE, SO BE SURE TO CHECK BACK IN THE MORNING FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION.
Total possible snowfall accumulations:
Coating to an inch or two possible: Central NJ from Southern Mercer and Middlesex Counties southward, and Suffolk County NY
1-3 inches possible: Northern Mercer and Middlesex Counties in NJ, Staten Island, Richmond, Kings, Queens, and Nassau County, NY
2-5 inches possible: Southern Hunterdon, Somerset, Union, and Hudson Counties in NJ, Manhattan and Bronx Counties in NY
3-6 inches possible: Essex County, NJ
4-8 inches possible: Lehigh and Northampton Counties in PA, Northern Hunterdon, Warren, Morris, Southern Passaic, and Bergen Counties in NJ, Rockland and Westchester Counties in NY, and Fairfield County, CT
7-10 inches possible: Carbon and Monroe Counties in PA, Sussex County, NJ, and Putnam County, NY
8-12 inches possible: Luzerne, Lackawanna, Southern Wayne, and Pike Counties in PA, and Orange County, NY
10-15 inches or more possible: Wyoming, Susquehanna, and Northern Wayne Counties in PA
Total possible ice accumulations:
Trace to a quarter inch possible: parts of East Central PA, Central NJ, far eastern sections of Northern NJ, NYC, Long Island, Southern Westchester County in NY, and Coastal Fairfield County, CT
Quarter inch to an inch possible: parts of East Central PA, southeastern areas of Northeastern PA, the rest of Northeastern NJ, Southeastern NY State, and Northern Fairfield County, CT
Half inch to one and half inches possible: Northwestern NJ
Total Precipitation amounts will be 1-2 inches except 1.5-2.5 inches on Long Island from west to east.
Winds could gust to 50 mph in some inland locations and up to 70 mph on parts of Long Island.
Monday will then be variably cloudy with a chance of a snow shower or flurry in the morning as some Lake Effect moisture may reach our area. Lows will be in the mid single digits below zero to the mid single digits above zero. Highs will be in the single digits to low teens.
Tuesday will then be nice, but cold, with lows in the mid single digits below zero to the single digits above zero. Highs will be in the mid 20’s to mid 30’s.
Wednesday clouds will increase with a chance of rain in the afternoon and at night as a disturbance and cold front pass through our area. Highs will be in the upper 30’s to mid 40’s.
Next Thursday and Friday will then be nice with highs in the mid 30’s to mid 40’s next Thursday and the mid 20’s to mid 30’s next Friday.
Next Saturday through Wednesday will then be variably cloudy with a slight chance of snow each day as a couple of storms may develop off the coast. Highs will be in the 20’s to low 30’s.
Have a wonderful evening and please join me first thing in the morning for the latest on the impending storm for the weekend.
Remember, any small shift northwest with this storm and there will be less snow and ice and any shift southeast with the storm would mean more snow and ice. Let’s see what we are looking at in the morning.
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