Monday, November 11, 2019

Monday, November 11, 2019 - Morning Weather Discussion

Some rain and snow in our tomorrow…

Today will be variably cloudy with highs in the mid 50’s to low 60’s.

Tomorrow, a strong cold front will approach our area, causing rain to develop in the morning from west to east. The rain will then gradually mix with and then change to snow in most places in the morning and afternoon, from west to east as the cold front passes through. A trace to an inch of snow is possible, except for up to 2 inches possible in the highest elevations of Northeastern PA. It will also become windy, with gusts of 20-40 mph possible. Highs will be early in the morning, in the pre-dawn hours, and will range from the upper 30’s to mid 40’s in Northeastern PA and Orange County, NY, to the mid 50’s along the coast and on Eastern Long Island, dropping to the upper 20’s to low 30’s by sunrise in Northeastern PA, to low to mid 30’s in East Central PA, Northwestern NJ, and Orange County, NY by mid-morning, to the low to mid 30’s in Northeastern PA, the rest of Southeastern NY State, and Fairfield County, CT, by noon, to the mid 30’s in Central NJ and NYC by noon, and by mid-afternoon on Long Island.

Below are the latest runs of the snow maps from the short-range American model on the top, the ECMWF (European model) in the middle, and the ECMWF ensemble mean (an average of the European model run 50 different ways for various conditions) on the bottom. Images courtesy WeatherBell Analytics. Click on the images to enlarge.




Wednesday will then be variably cloudy, and it will be windy in the morning with gusts of 20-40 mph possible. It will be cold, with highs in the mid 20’s to mid 30’s.

Thursday through Saturday will then be variably cloudy with highs ranging from the low to mid 30’s in Northeastern PA to the mid 40’s along the coast Thursday, in the mid 40’s to low 50’s Friday, and the 30’s Saturday.

Sunday into the morning of next Monday, November 18th, there will be a chance of rain as a storm may form along the East Coast. There will then be a chance of a shower next Monday afternoon. Highs will be in the upper 30’s to mid 40’s Sunday and in the mid to upper 40’s next Monday.

Next Tuesday, November 19th, will be variably cloudy with a chance of a shower. Highs will be in the mid 40’s to low 50’s.

Next Wednesday, November 20th, and next Thursday, November 21st, are then looking nice with highs in the mid 40’s to low 50’s next Wednesday and the upper 40’s to mid 50’s next Thursday.

Next Friday, November 22nd, through next Sunday, November 24th, are then looking variably cloudy with a chance of a shower each day. Highs will be in the mid 40’s to mid 50’s next Friday and the mid 40’s to low 50’s next Saturday and Sunday.

Have a fantastic day!

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